Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.390101 4.917437 5.491524 6.164298 6.932845 7.785414 8.805559
2025-02-09 3.665888 4.377694 5.211300 6.265071 7.569255 9.140204 11.190500
2025-02-16 3.197918 4.004375 5.001778 6.337313 8.095793 10.355716 13.518136
2025-02-23 2.863451 3.724748 4.837983 6.400571 8.566503 11.506076 15.872390
2025-03-02 2.522962 3.384621 4.539015 6.223480 8.660361 12.123085 17.535232
2025-03-09 2.283217 3.147585 4.343080 6.149216 8.865151 12.889800 19.483739
2025-03-16 2.081575 2.939742 4.160789 6.063986 9.027854 13.591626 21.401748
2025-03-23 1.998925 2.892226 4.200074 6.304145 9.700388 15.141250 24.885727
2025-03-30 1.863727 2.752803 4.086616 6.291776 9.963623 16.053577 27.408543
2025-04-06 1.735136 2.611392 3.955571 6.234231 10.139185 16.828546 29.782752
2025-04-13 1.558810 2.381473 3.666178 5.888455 9.786720 16.643344 30.342556
2025-04-20 1.478162 2.296911 3.601673 5.911252 10.072619 17.618726 33.253801
2025-04-27 1.433292 2.268875 3.630368 6.102395 10.690860 19.300247 37.886077
2025-05-04 1.376129 2.216092 3.613233 6.210917 11.169305 20.778491 42.354064
2025-05-11 1.317886 2.156718 3.579290 6.284297 11.586742 22.186197 46.907807
2025-05-18 1.263003 2.098730 3.542452 6.347335 11.988328 23.608876 51.740710
2025-05-25 1.176916 1.979944 3.388059 6.171998 11.889410 23.962419 54.106729
2025-06-01 1.113110 1.896374 3.291034 6.098450 11.990463 24.756778 57.682312
2025-06-08 1.053030 1.815542 3.193107 6.014025 12.058450 25.483584 61.213822
2025-06-15 1.039500 1.818901 3.252599 6.251920 12.848080 27.964470 69.839740
2025-06-22 0.995430 1.762395 3.193664 6.239668 13.080507 29.160805 75.190632
2025-06-29 0.949211 1.698927 3.116768 6.182667 13.204432 30.108460 80.021307
2025-07-06 0.873818 1.575403 2.914126 5.840142 12.630796 29.245142 79.353065